Reward leaderboard

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1	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETThin	$10K	44	$5.6K	1.0%	0.0%	$10	0h
2	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETThin	$7.5K	39	$4.6K	1.0%	0.0%	$101	0h
3	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETThin	$1.7K	45	$915	1.0%	4.5%	$655	4h
4	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETThin	$1.7K	49	$850	1.0%	0.0%	$0	0h
5	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETThin	$1.7K	49	$850	1.0%	0.0%	$0	0h
6	XRP Up or Down - September 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETThin	$1.7K	53	$783	2.0%	0.0%	$0	0h
7	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	$1K	31	$694	1.0%	10.0%	$1.3M	11d
8	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	$1K	31	$687	1.0%	10.0%	$728K	11d
9	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETThin	$1.7K	61	$650	4.0%	0.0%	$0	0h
10	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	$700	14	$603	2.0%	0.5%	$141.3K	26d
11	Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?2 outcomes	$500	5	$473	0.2%	0.4%	$186K	1.3y
12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	$529	11	$473	1.0%	0.0%	$56.3K	26d
13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	$540	18	$445	1.0%	2.0%	$16K	2mo
14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	$471	9	$429	0.3%	1.1%	$110.3K	26d
15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	$500	14	$429	1.0%	0.0%	$9.4K	3mo
16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETThin	$833	49	$425	1.0%	0.0%	$0	0h
17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	$460	15	$393	1.0%	1.0%	$22K	2mo
18	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETThin	$833	53	$392	2.0%	0.0%	$0	0h
19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	$488	23	$376	2.0%	0.5%	$1.8K	3mo
20	XRP Up or Down - September 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETThin	$833	57	$358	3.0%	0.0%	$0	0h
21	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETThin	$833	57	$358	3.0%	0.0%	$0	0h
22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	$400	11	$357	1.0%	1.0%	$126.3K	4mo
23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	$400	11	$355	1.0%	0.0%	$34.7K	4mo
24	Fed rate hike in 2026?	$500	30	$348	1.0%	10.0%	$237.4K	3mo
25	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETThin	$833	61	$325	4.0%	0.0%	$0	0h
26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETThin	$833	65	$292	8.0%	0.0%	$0	0h
27	Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?2 outcomes	$300	11	$267	0.1%	0.0%	$7.3K	4mo
28	Will Spirit Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?	$361	27	$263	1.0%	4.0%	$11.8K	—
29	Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?	$300	14	$257	1.0%	0.0%	$8.6K	4mo
30	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	$300	25	$226	2.0%	3.0%	$10.9K	4mo
31	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETThin	$333	43	$189	1.0%	0.5%	$20	4h
32	No one announced as next James Bond?	$219	15	$187	0.1%	1.5%	$7.1K	4mo
33	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETThin	$417	57	$179	3.0%	0.0%	$0	0h
34	BNB Up or Down - September 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETThin	$417	57	$179	3.0%	0.0%	$0	0h
35	Will Vitality Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?	$302	43	$173	1.0%	10.0%	$16.7K	—
36	Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?3 outcomes	$300	43	$172	2.0%	9.0%	$9.5K	10d
37	Will Drake release a new album by December 31?	$200	15	$169	1.0%	0.0%	$5.4K	4mo
38	GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?2 outcomes	$200	17	$167	1.0%	0.0%	$3K	1.3y
39	XRP Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETThin	$333	55	$149	2.0%	4.0%	$20	4h
40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETThin	$333	59	$135	1.0%	8.5%	$66	4h
41	Will Lacy and Marlon have between 50 and 99 Warzone deaths during the marathon?	$291	66	$99	6.0%	15.0%	$7.9K	26d
42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETThin	$333	73	$89	1.0%	10.5%	$0	4h
43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 5?	$228	63	$84	3.0%	11.0%	$7K	4h
44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 5?	$257	69	$79	4.0%	10.5%	$1.5K	4h
45	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 5?	$230	68	$74	1.0%	26.5%	$1.6K	4h

Rank by adj. reward across loaded markets · Risk score 0–100, lower is safer · Adj. reward = daily reward pool discounted by risk — a ranking guide, not a per-dollar earnings figure.

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