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Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Yashar · Resolves Oct 28, 2026 · Rank #29 of 149 by adj. reward

Risk score

26.1/ 100Low risk
Volatility+11.6 pts
24h move 5.0%severity 33/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+5.5 pts
24h volume $80.1Kseverity 18/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+4.0 pts
spread 1.0%severity 20/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+5.0 pts
resolves in 8dseverity 33/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$367
Adj. reward
$271
Spread
1.0%
24h move
5.0%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$80.1K
Resolves
8d
Outcome prices
Yes 73¢ · No 28¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$0.98/ day

Below the $1 daily minimum — this would not be paid out.

Your score
358
Competing
134058
Your share
0.3%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$134.1K of competing score currently resting within 6.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $367/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 6.5¢, min size $100, midpoint 0.72, pool) is live from Polymarket.

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Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

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