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Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 20?

68-69°F · Resolves Oct 20, 2026 · Rank #99 of 150 by adj. reward

Risk score

61.7/ 100Medium risk
Volatility+15.2 pts
24h move 6.5%severity 43/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+11.6 pts
24h volume $4.7Kseverity 39/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+20.0 pts
spread 5.0%severity 100/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+14.9 pts
resolves in 1hseverity 100/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$188
Adj. reward
$72
Spread
5.0%
24h move
6.5%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$4.7K
Resolves
1h
Outcome prices
Yes 46¢ · No 55¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$188/ day
Your score
302
Competing
0
Your share
100.0%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$0 of competing score currently resting within 4.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $188/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 4.5¢, min size $100, midpoint 0.43, pool) is live from Polymarket.

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Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

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EVM0x2f73…69DfSOLE4a85R…ZJ3R

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