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Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?

60-80M · Resolves Oct 23, 2026 · Rank #23 of 150 by adj. reward

Risk score

38.7/ 100Medium risk
Volatility+9.5 pts
24h move 4.0%severity 27/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+6.2 pts
24h volume $56.9Kseverity 21/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+12.8 pts
spread 3.2%severity 64/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+10.2 pts
resolves in 3dseverity 68/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$500
Adj. reward
$307
Spread
3.2%
24h move
4.0%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$56.9K
Resolves
3d
Outcome prices
Yes 66¢ · No 34¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$218/ day
Your score
302
Competing
391
Your share
43.6%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$391 of competing score currently resting within 4.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $500/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 4.5¢, min size $200, midpoint 0.67, pool) is live from Polymarket.

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Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

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