Reward leaderboard

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1	France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5	$1.7K	16	$1.5K	0.3%	0.8%	$1.2M	16h
2	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	$1.4K	12	$1.2K	0.2%	2.6%	$92.9K	4mo
3	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	$1.4K	16	$1.2K	0.3%	0.0%	$471K	16h
4	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	$1.4K	16	$1.2K	0.3%	0.8%	$2.1M	16h
5	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	$1.4K	17	$1.2K	0.3%	1.0%	$1.6M	16h
6	US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?4 outcomes	$1.2K	14	$1K	1.0%	0.0%	$9.2K	6mo
7	Spread: France (-1.5)	$1.2K	18	$992	0.3%	0.5%	$383.5K	16h
8	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	$1.2K	29	$870	1.0%	10.0%	$1.4M	15d
9	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	$1.3K	34	$838	0.1%	12.2%	$205.1K	15d
10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	$700	5	$665	0.1%	0.1%	$253.8K	17d
11	France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score	$805	20	$646	1.0%	0.0%	$374.1K	16h
12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 14?	$1K	37	$629	3.0%	0.0%	$4.6K	18h
13	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	$724	14	$623	0.3%	3.0%	$68.8K	4mo
14	Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	$1K	39	$614	2.0%	11.5%	$297.9K	18d
15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 14?	$1K	41	$587	4.0%	0.0%	$4.3K	17h
16	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	$574	16	$484	1.0%	0.0%	$91.6K	6d
17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 14, 2026?	$600	20	$481	1.5%	0.0%	$1.8K	2mo
18	France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	$671	28	$481	1.0%	2.0%	$61.4K	16h
19	Iran full airspace closure by July 15?	$500	4	$479	0.1%	0.3%	$221.1K	2mo
20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	$500	10	$450	1.0%	2.0%	$551.9K	6mo
21	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?2 outcomes	$500	13	$434	1.0%	2.0%	$128.2K	2mo
22	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?Thin	$625	31	$429	1.0%	0.0%	$105	5d
23	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	$430	7	$400	0.1%	0.0%	$1.6M	6d
24	Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	$486	20	$389	1.0%	1.0%	$33K	6d
25	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	$600	36	$381	2.0%	7.5%	$16.4K	14d
26	France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.52 outcomes	$537	31	$370	1.0%	1.0%	$5.7K	16h
27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 14?	$500	28	$361	1.0%	0.0%	$8.5K	17h
28	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	$426	16	$360	0.1%	0.4%	$27K	6d
29	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–$2.25 in June?Thin	$500	35	$323	1.0%	0.5%	$351	1d
30	Will T1 Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?	$400	21	$315	1.0%	0.0%	$1.6K	—
31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 14?	$500	37	$315	3.0%	0.0%	$5K	17h
32	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?2 outcomes	$600	48	$312	0.9%	14.4%	$7.6K	2mo
33	Will Bilibili Gaming Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?	$400	23	$308	1.3%	0.0%	$1.3K	—
34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	$538	44	$303	2.0%	12.5%	$50.7K	2mo
35	Will Hanwha Life Esports Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?Thin	$400	31	$277	1.3%	0.0%	$66	—
36	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	$549	50	$274	2.0%	16.5%	$39K	4mo
37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	$462	44	$258	1.0%	14.0%	$33.3K	2mo
38	Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	$692	66	$236	5.0%	56.5%	$7.7K	28d
39	Will Dplus Kia Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?Thin	$400	42	$234	7.0%	0.0%	$842	—
40	Will AG.AL Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?Thin	$400	44	$223	5.0%	0.0%	$293	—
41	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	$451	51	$219	2.0%	17.5%	$20.7K	4mo
42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 14?	$457	68	$148	2.0%	61.0%	$8.6K	9h
43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 14?	$415	72	$118	2.0%	27.5%	$1.3K	9h
44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?	$435	77	$101	4.1%	15.3%	$5.6K	9h

Rank by adj. reward across loaded markets · Risk score 0–100, lower is safer · Adj. reward = daily reward pool discounted by risk — a ranking guide, not a per-dollar earnings figure.

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