flowlayer
flowlayer
Updated 03:52
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Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?

36°C · Resolves Jul 14, 2026 · Rank #147 of 147 by adj. reward

Risk score

76.4/ 100High risk
Volatility+35.0 pts
24h move 29.8%severity 100/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+11.1 pts
24h volume $6Kseverity 37/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+16.0 pts
spread 4.0%severity 80/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+14.3 pts
resolves in 8hseverity 95/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$483
Adj. reward
$114
Spread
4.0%
24h move
29.8%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$6K
Resolves
8h
Outcome prices
Yes 66¢ · No 34¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$473/ day
Your score
302
Competing
6
Your share
97.9%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$6 of competing score currently resting within 4.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $483/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 4.5¢, min size $50, midpoint 0.64, pool) is live from Polymarket.

flowlayer

Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

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