flowlayer
flowlayer
Updated 03:53
Leaderboard

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · Rank #21 of 147 by adj. reward

Risk score

9.9/ 100Low risk
Volatility+4.6 pts
24h move 2.0%severity 13/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+1.3 pts
24h volume $557.7Kseverity 4/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+4.0 pts
spread 1.0%severity 20/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+0.0 pts
resolves in 6moseverity 0/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$500
Adj. reward
$450
Spread
1.0%
24h move
2.0%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$557.7K
Resolves
6mo
Outcome prices
Yes 20¢ · No 81¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$2.19/ day
Your score
255
Competing
57992
Your share
0.4%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$58K of competing score currently resting within 3.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $500/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 3.5¢, min size $200, midpoint 0.20, pool) is live from Polymarket.

flowlayer

Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

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