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Updated 03:49
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Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?

Scottie Scheffler · Resolves Jul 19, 2026 · Rank #23 of 145 by adj. reward

Risk score

31.4/ 100Low risk
Volatility+0.0 pts
24h move 0.0%severity 0/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+19.9 pts
24h volume $105severity 66/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+4.0 pts
spread 1.0%severity 20/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+7.5 pts
resolves in 5dseverity 50/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$625
Adj. reward
$429
Spread
1.0%
24h move
0.0%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$105
Resolves
5d
Outcome prices
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$11.85/ day
Your score
302
Competing
15655
Your share
1.9%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$15.7K of competing score currently resting within 4.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $625/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 4.5¢, min size $200, midpoint 0.10, pool) is live from Polymarket.

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