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Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Troy Jackson · Resolves Jul 27, 2026 · Rank #26 of 147 by adj. reward

Risk score

33.7/ 100Medium risk
Volatility+18.7 pts
24h move 8.0%severity 53/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+8.9 pts
24h volume $16.4Kseverity 30/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+4.0 pts
spread 1.0%severity 20/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+2.1 pts
resolves in 14dseverity 14/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$621
Adj. reward
$412
Spread
1.0%
24h move
8.0%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$16.4K
Resolves
14d
Outcome prices
Yes 77¢ · No 24¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$7.29/ day
Your score
302
Competing
25461
Your share
1.2%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$25.5K of competing score currently resting within 4.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $621/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 4.5¢, min size $200, midpoint 0.77, pool) is live from Polymarket.

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