flowlayer
flowlayer
Updated 03:49
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Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

July 31 · Resolves Jul 31, 2026 · Rank #11 of 145 by adj. reward

Risk score

31.1/ 100Low risk
Volatility+23.3 pts
24h move 10.0%severity 67/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+2.6 pts
24h volume $300.3Kseverity 9/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+4.0 pts
spread 1.0%severity 20/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+1.2 pts
resolves in 18dseverity 8/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$1K
Adj. reward
$689
Spread
1.0%
24h move
10.0%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$300.3K
Resolves
18d
Outcome prices
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$38.89/ day
Your score
302
Competing
7474
Your share
3.9%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$7.5K of competing score currently resting within 4.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $1K/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 4.5¢, min size $200, midpoint 0.27, pool) is live from Polymarket.

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Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

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