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Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 5?

80-81°F · Resolves Sep 5, 2026 · Rank #76 of 150 by adj. reward

Risk score

61.8/ 100Medium risk
Volatility+29.2 pts
24h move 12.5%severity 83/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+13.8 pts
24h volume $1.7Kseverity 46/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+4.0 pts
spread 1.0%severity 20/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+14.8 pts
resolves in 2hseverity 99/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$225
Adj. reward
$86
Spread
1.0%
24h move
12.5%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$1.7K
Resolves
2h
Outcome prices
Yes 68¢ · No 33¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$64.24/ day
Your score
302
Competing
757
Your share
28.6%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$757 of competing score currently resting within 4.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $225/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 4.5¢, min size $100, midpoint 0.68, pool) is live from Polymarket.

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Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

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