flowlayer
flowlayer
Leaderboard

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Resolves Dec 9, 2026 · Rank #19 of 150 by adj. reward

Risk score

25.8/ 100Low risk
Volatility+18.7 pts
24h move 8.0%severity 53/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+3.1 pts
24h volume $234.7Kseverity 10/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+4.0 pts
spread 1.0%severity 20/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+0.0 pts
resolves in 3moseverity 0/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$500
Adj. reward
$371
Spread
1.0%
24h move
8.0%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$234.7K
Resolves
3mo
Outcome prices
Yes 72¢ · No 28¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$3.64/ day
Your score
302
Competing
41202
Your share
0.7%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$41.2K of competing score currently resting within 4.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $500/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 4.5¢, min size $100, midpoint 0.71, pool) is live from Polymarket.

flowlayer

Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

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