flowlayer
flowlayer
Leaderboard

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026 · Rank #29 of 150 by adj. reward

Risk score

17.2/ 100Low risk
Volatility+3.5 pts
24h move 1.5%severity 10/100 · weight 35%
Liquidity / depth+9.7 pts
24h volume $11.5Kseverity 32/100 · weight 30%
Spread width+4.0 pts
spread 1.0%severity 20/100 · weight 20%
Time to resolution+0.0 pts
resolves in 4moseverity 0/100 · weight 15%

Each input is scored 0–100 for severity, weighted, and summed — the points above add up to the total score. Unavailable inputs are excluded and the remaining weights renormalise.

Market stats

Reward / day
$300
Adj. reward
$248
Spread
1.0%
24h move
1.5%
Liquidity (24h vol)
$11.5K
Resolves
4mo
Outcome prices
Yes 27¢ · No 74¢
View on Polymarket

Earnings estimator

A projection from Polymarket's reward formula on this market's live config — not a guaranteed payout.

Quote
Projected daily reward
$32.69/ day
Your score
255
Competing
2086
Your share
10.9%

Two-sided quote (capital split evenly across both sides). Assumes the ~$2.1K of competing score currently resting within 3.5¢ of the midpoint. Your reward is a moving share of a $300/day pool, so it flexes as others add or pull liquidity. Config (max spread 3.5¢, min size $200, midpoint 0.27, pool) is live from Polymarket.

flowlayer

Non-custodial, read-only analytics for Polymarket liquidity rewards. Flowlayer never holds, moves, or touches your funds.

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